Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005746 0.006560 0.007500 0.008680 0.010138 0.011905 0.014248
2026-01-25 0.004550 0.005518 0.006740 0.008437 0.010801 0.014095 0.019261
2026-02-01 0.003802 0.004782 0.006090 0.008031 0.010967 0.015493 0.023605
2026-02-08 0.003288 0.004245 0.005574 0.007645 0.010986 0.016579 0.027839
2026-02-15 0.003036 0.004020 0.005441 0.007770 0.011786 0.019147 0.036122
2026-02-22 0.002764 0.003729 0.005162 0.007601 0.012030 0.020770 0.043447
2026-03-01 0.002523 0.003454 0.004869 0.007353 0.012062 0.021967 0.050612
2026-03-08 0.002334 0.003237 0.004641 0.007174 0.012180 0.023383 0.059638
2026-03-15 0.002247 0.003168 0.004639 0.007393 0.013137 0.027137 0.080588
2026-03-22 0.002186 0.003133 0.004687 0.007707 0.014377 0.032235 0.115585
2026-03-29 0.002140 0.003118 0.004765 0.008090 0.015884 0.039021 0.177352
2026-04-05 0.002032 0.002990 0.004630 0.008020 0.016276 0.042536 0.231506
2026-04-12 0.001932 0.002876 0.004523 0.008026 0.016963 0.048000 0.338928
2026-04-19 0.001812 0.002720 0.004326 0.007813 0.017024 0.051262 0.456290
2026-04-26 0.001686 0.002545 0.004077 0.007449 0.016565 0.052072 0.553712
2026-05-03 0.001574 0.002386 0.003847 0.007101 0.016079 0.052542 0.665673
2026-05-10 0.001524 0.002335 0.003819 0.007214 0.017030 0.061114 1.272863
2026-05-17 0.001451 0.002236 0.003687 0.007062 0.017102 0.065166 2.011967
2026-05-24 0.001375 0.002129 0.003533 0.006837 0.016882 0.067409 3.001402
2026-05-31 0.001312 0.002041 0.003411 0.006676 0.016843 0.070971 5.276340
2026-06-07 0.001288 0.002024 0.003430 0.006874 0.018150 0.086153 41.149247
2026-06-14 0.001273 0.002022 0.003479 0.007157 0.019910 0.109462 NaN
2026-06-21 0.001263 0.002028 0.003547 0.007501 0.022104 0.145024 NaN